Politics

USA, Trump’s concerns about the southern border

The triumph of the Democrats in the mid-term elections is fueling new departures of illegal immigrants towards the southern border of the United States. Trump, furious, assures a hard line. And the Dems risk splitting

The United States is once again concerned about illegal immigration at its southern border. On Tuesday, more than a thousand immigrants from Central America began moving through Mexico to reach the US border.

«Here we go again! With the Republicans’ perceived defeat in the midterm elections (I was not a candidate) the invasion of our country is about to happen again. Huge caravans are forming and beginning their illegal march through Mexico. Many of the people in these caravans are the ones that various countries don’t want,” he said Donald Trump on Truth. «They will not be accepted! Mexico must stop them, now, and if it doesn’t, customs duties on Mexico will immediately be doubled. Mexico, the governor of Texas, the very liberal new governor of Texas, our great border patrol and ICE have been notified. There will be no leniency! “, he added.

The immigration game in the USA

In 2024, Trump he had won the presidential elections also by leveraging the fight against illegal immigration. As soon as he returned to the White House in January last year, the American president immediately began to use a hard fist. Beyond the controversial aspects and despite having admitted that the repatriation strategy may have been “too harsh”, it is undeniable that, on this front, Trump achieved significant success.

In mid-October, the Financial Times In fact, he reported that illegal crossings at the southern border of the United States had fallen to the lowest level since 1968. In contrast, in 2022 and 2023, at the time of the administration Bidenthe USA had recorded a historical record of arrivals of irregular immigrants at the border with Mexico. It is therefore clear how, over the last year and a half, the hard line promoted by Trump has effectively worked in terms of deterrence.

What changed after the midterms

Now, however, the situation risks changing. In the last midterm elections, the Democratic Party regained the majority in both houses of Congress. This is an element that is pushing many in Central America to believe that the restrictive migration policies implemented by the Trump administration will be revoked or, if nothing else, limited.

This is an issue that could objectively put the American president in difficulty who, as mentioned, has made the fight against illegal immigration his strong point. From this point of view, it is no mystery that the Democrats, starting next year, want to put the Department of Internal Security under parliamentary investigation, especially with regards to the management of ICE.

However, we must be careful: the Democratic Party in turn risks a boomerang effect. First, voters were dissatisfied with the administration’s handling of immigration Biden. Secondly, the Asinello, on migration issues, is historically split between a right wing (which is in favor of controlling borders with a certain severity) and a left wing (which advocates, instead, a more lax approach). In short, the topic is politically thorny. It is for Trumpbut, in the end, it risks being so especially for the Democrats.