Politics

Palestine, the state that is not there

From the United Kingdom to France, the number of countries that recognize Palestine grows. But without borders, capital and a credible political guide, the state remains non -existent: the awards remain words in the wind.

The first was Pedro Sánchez. Perhaps to satisfy the twenty parties of the radical left that support his government, perhaps to make the judicial troubles that involved his wife and brother recently indicted for a financial scandal, the Spanish Prime Minister already at the beginning of 2024 challenged the flag of Gaza, recognizing the Palestinian state.

Then they arrived Ireland, Norway and Sloveniawhile recently they also announced the recognition United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, Portugal, France, Belgium, Luxembourg, Malta, Liechtenstein and New Zealand. Thus, in total in the world they went up to 158 countries lined up in favor of the Palestinian cause. In practice, of the 193 States that are part of the UN, alone 35 For now they have avoided taking sides And, among these, in Europe there are Italy, Germany, Austria, Greece, Switzerland, the Netherlands, Croatia And few others.

But what does it mean to recognize Palestine?

To practical effects Nothingit is a pure declaration of intent, which has not produced or produces any concrete result. Moreover, for some time about two thirds of the United Nations members have recognized the Palestinian state, but this did not help to give birth.

Therefore, recent adhesions to the cause of France, Great Britain and Canada will also not change the situation, because beyond the declarations of principle, a series of fundamental nodes remains to be dissolved.

Landed borders and capital

So that there is a state is needed to be defined its territory and its capital. But in the Palestinian case neither one nor the other are clear.

In theory, the boundaries should be those prior to the Six days war and the capital should arise at Jerusalem Estbut the conflicts that have followed each other in over half a century have led Israel to occupy part of those territories and to move the headquarters of its capital.

For Benjamin Netanyahu The renunciation of what his country has conquered would put his own existence at risk and therefore refuses the step back. Moreover, the first to not recognize the 1967 borders are the Palestinians themselves. Or, better, radical movements like Hamasfor whom the only possible state is what goes “from the river to the sea”, that is to say without Israel.

Internal divisions

The node that from 1948 to today has managed to dissolve, in essence, is all here: on the one hand there is a Palestinian part that does not intend to recognize Israel in any way and, on the other, over the years, Israeli fundamentalist parties have arisen who refuse the idea of ​​a Palestinian state because they consider it a threat to the existence of its own.

To complicate things there is the fact that the Palestinian leadership is far from united. And to divide it there is not only Gaza and the West Bank, although they are part of the same state in theory, they are detached entities, but there is a deep rift between those who drive the Palestinians.

On the one hand there are radical movements, such as Hamas, who have been sowing terror in the territory for years, on the other theAnpor what remains of the old Olp of Yasser Arafatauthority that for at least twenty years has not undergone the voting of the voters for fear of losing.

Impossible negotiations

In this scenario, recognizing the Palestinian state means nothing, because there is no state that can be defined as such. And not only because of Israel, but also for the divisions and conflicts between those who represent the Palestinian cause.

Today, negotiations such as those that were held in the nineties a Oslo or in the two thousand a Camp David They would not be possible for the simple reason that the mediators would not know who to make sure.

If at the time they could meet Yitzak Rabin and Yasser Arafator Ehud Barak and the same head of the OLP, in these days a Bill Clinton That he wanted to try to reach an agreement with mutual recognition would not know which Palestinian leadership to aim, because none, neither Hamas nor the ANP, appears to represent the cause that have taken place.

Words in the wind

And this is perhaps the main reason for the Palestinian tragedy. While the people suffer under the Israeli bombs, those who drive it or say to guide him do not seem to have a strategy that allows you to reach an agreement that leads to the end of the war. Who can it treat Netanyahu? Who can say under what conditions will the tanks stop?

Therefore, until those who represent the Palestinians and in which direction they want to go, the awards of Palestine, as well as the declarations that aim for the acceptance of two peoples and two states for one territory, are not clear Words in the wind.

Entunciations that are used to wash their consciousness, but that do not offer any solution to the problem. If all the states that are part of the UN also recognized Palestine tomorrow, the theme of which Palestine They speak. That divided into two or that without Israel? The one led by Islamic or moderate fundamentalism? Nobody knows how to say.