Chivu on the run one step away from the finish line: 4 points in the last 5 days are enough for him. Here’s when the arithmetic assignment of the scudetto to Inter could take place.
It’s no longer a question of if, but when. Inter will celebrate the 21st Scudetto in their history well before the end of the championship and will do so by imposing a significant gap on their pursuers. Napoli’s fall to Maradona against Lazio accelerated the process of proclaiming the 2025/2026 Italian champion team, making the month of May a sort of interesting appendix only for the Champions League and relegation.
When will Chivu be able to celebrate the first tricolor of his fresh coaching career? There are two hypotheses, one very probable and the other (if necessary) almost certain. The starting point is that with 5 matchdays remaining in the season, Inter have a 12 point advantage over Napoli and virtually the same gap over Milan (if the Rossoneri win in Verona). It must be remembered that in the event of a tie there are no criteria but a play-off takes place. Therefore, to be arithmetically champion it is necessary to accumulate an advantage of at least one point greater than the total points that remain available.
Inter are Italian champions on matchday 34 if…
The ranking is so clear in its hierarchies that it even makes it possible to have a Scudetto celebration on Sunday 26 April on the occasion of Torino-Inter which will be played at 6pm. For this to happen, the Nerazzurri need to push further on Napoli and Milan. Here are the combinations:
- Inter beat Torino, Napoli fail to beat Cremonese and Milan get less than 6 points between Verona and Juventus.
- Inter closed with a draw against Torino but Napoli lost against Cremonese and Milan did not gain more than 3 points in the matches against Verona and Juventus.
Inter are Italian champions on matchday 35 if…
The next scenario leads to Inter-Parma, scheduled for Sunday 3 May at 8.45pm at San Siro. It’s the 35th day and at the end of that match there will only be 3 rounds left which means that Chivu will only need to have a 10 point lead over his pursuers. The matches are in favor of Inter considering that on the same day Napoli are away at Como and for Milan there is a trip to Reggio Emilia against Sassuolo.
In absolute terms, Inter will be Italian champions if they manage to win 4 of the 15 points still available. It’s not yet mathematical, in short, but it’s simply a matter of waiting for the moment. And it is very unlikely that it will go beyond May 3rd.
