The left has a new voter and Muhammad is its prophet. Population analysis between France, UK and Germany: this is how radical parties intercept immigrant communities.
The left has a new voter and Muhammad he is its prophet. In a West that fragments its historical identities, what the former British Prime Minister is consolidating Tony Blairfrom the columns of the Sunday Times, defined a«unholy alliance» between progressivism and Islam. We are not faced with the mixture of Muslim faith and socialism that defined the regimes of Gamal Abdel Nasser or Houari Boumediènetwentieth-century attempts to secularize the Arab states through state dirigisme. Today’s process follows an inverse trajectory: it is not Islam that is contaminated with socialism, but it is socialism that, in a crisis of consensus, desperately clings to Islam.
“Imported” religion, critics say, because foreigners fill the gaps left by the natives. They do the jobs that no one wants to do anymore. Including voting for the left.
The weight of numbers and the confessional electorate
In countries where the phenomenon is mapped with scientific rigor, the statistics leave no room for bucolic interpretations. By cross-referencing data from institutes such as Ifop, YouGov And Forschungsgruppeit emerges that in Europe the tendency of Muslim faithful to choose progressive parties is drastically higher than the national average. Between 2022 and 2026, in a cluster that includes the United Kingdom, France, Germany and Scandinavia, 85.5% of Muslims voted for the progressive area (37% for the radical left, 48.5% for the centre-left). In the same countries, only 42% of the rest of the population expressed the same preference.
This convergence arises from the ability of radical movements to intercept the practical demands of new citizens: promises of subsidies, facilitated citizenship and a pounding rhetoric on the fight againstIslamophobia. The conflict a Gaza it acted as a catalyst, offering moral cover to deeper feelings. In the sensitivity of a part of the confessional electorate, the pain for Palestinian civilians merges with a deep-rooted hostility towards the State of Israel, sometimes resulting in open anti-Semitism.
The French laboratory of Jean-Luc Mélenchon
The recent administrative elections in France were the plastic theater of this ambiguity. The traditional “cordon sanitaire” has not served to slow down the right, but to contain the rise of La France insoumise. The leader Jean-Luc Mélenchon he went so far as to recall the crucifixion of Christ at the hands of the Jews in order to tickle certain electoral instincts. In Saint-Denis, the victory of Bally Bagayokophotographed in prayer at the end of Ramadan and the protagonist of an inauguration speech with purifying tones against non-aligned public employees, marks a point of no return in the management of consensus in the transalpine suburbs.
Across the Channel, the phenomenon shakes the foundations of Labour. While the Greens snatch historic seats in Greater Manchester thanks to the Islamic vote, the prime minister Keir Starmer must manage the heavy legacy of grooming gangs Pakistani women, an abuse scandal hushed up for years by party leaders in the name of political correctness. It is the paradox of a left which, in order not to appear discriminatory, ends up sacrificing the protection of the weakest on the altar of electoral calculation.
From New York to Italy: the intersectional experiment
The figure who best embodies this hybrid today is Zohran Mamdaninew mayor of New York. Dem maximalist of Indian and Ugandan origins, Mamdani brought Ramadan into City Hall, but his strength lies in an exquisitely socialist platform: minimum wage of 30 dollars, free transport and taxes on corporations. He represents the perfect intersectional overlap: the religious minority that becomes the banner of the fight against the establishment Wasp. However, the stability of this “cauldron” that brings together LGBTQ+ issues and Islamism remains to be verified.
In Italy, the weight of this blockade is still limited by demographics, but the signs are not lacking. If on the one hand the PD he is booed in the Milanese suburbs such as Corvetto, on the other the squares against the government of Giorgia Meloni they see a connection between social centers and Mohammedan acronyms. It remains to be seen whether this “unholy alliance” is a real merger or a tactical taxi. The risk is to play the role of the useful idiot in a “Submission” scenario Houellebecqwhere the left is destined to be digested and expelled as soon as Islam has achieved its political autonomy.
