From Mattarella’s role to parliamentarians’ pensions: all the reasons why Renzi and Giavazzi’s pressure hides a lethal threat for the prime minister.
To the polls, to the polls! A week after the defeat of the referendum, calls to return to the vote are multiplying. It suggests it Francesco Giavazziprofessor at Bocconi and former advisor to Mario Draghi at the time when the ECB banker was lent to politics and Palazzo Chigi.
According to the professor of economic policy, «at this point in history, taking time just means wasting time. And Italy today cannot afford it.” He doesn’t think otherwise, or at least that’s what he claims in public, Matteo Renziwhich a SkyTg24 released the following forecast: «O Giorgia Meloni go and vote immediately or there will be a constant decline.” To then add, in the Wizard Otelma version: «I don’t rule out that he is thinking about the elections».
Renzi and Giavazzi’s plan to bring Meloni to the vote
That Giavazzi and the simple senator from Rignano, together with some others less known, espousing the thesis of the urgency of returning to vote should already make us reflect. If they are in favor of an early dissolution of the Chambers there is one more reason to avoid having the legislature end a year and a half early. In the case of Giavazzi because the advice given to Dragons (such as, for example, detaching a piece of the 5 stars to support the government) have proven disastrous. As for instead Renzisince his indications are never disinterested, if you want to avoid trouble it is always preferable to do the opposite of what he says.
In addition to the suggestions to be wary of, there are also other factors that discourage the use of the polls Giorgia Meloni I think he is well aware and I will try to briefly summarize here. First question: the Prime Minister can resign but cannot call new elections, because that is a prerogative that falls to the head of state. Who, as I have already explained, could take note of the fact that the prime minister has thrown in the towel and could decide to appoint someone else. And at this point Melons it would be out of the picture. Some people object that there aren’t the numbers to create a technical government or a presidential one. Yes, on paper it would seem like this, but in practice it could go differently and I don’t think it would be worth it for Giorgia to check, risking a nasty surprise.
The shadow of the Governissimo and the unknown of the Hill
What makes me say that the numbers supporting the center-right in the face of the hypothesis of a very government could be less solid? Well, first of all the calendar: I believe that the first-appointed parliamentarians still have a year left to reach their pension and therefore none of them will be happy to leave their seats. Then there are the long-serving MPs, many of whom know that, due to too many mandates or simply because the number of possible elected representatives has been limited, they will not be re-nominated. Both obviously have good reasons to frown upon the early end of the legislature. If we then consider that, with the war in Iran, Sergio Mattarella would have an easy time invoking the national interest, anyone can understand that the resignation would be for Melons a leap into the void without any safety net.
Supporters of the vote, however, reply that Giorgia cannot stay and be roasted: she must react, because otherwise, as she says Renzithere will be a steady decline. Let’s assume that the Florentine Bomba is right and that the prime minister must get out of the corner that defeat has stuck him in and to do so, instead of relaunching government action, he decides to collapse the government. Let’s also admit that the head of state, instead of doing what he did to Renzithat is, to continue the legislature until the end, dissolve it early.
From Vannacci to Forza Italia: cracks in the centre-right
But who will guarantee a Melonswith the current electoral law, to be able to return to Palazzo Chigi? And above all, who will ensure that you can keep the coalition together? Roberto Vannacciwith Futuro Nazionale he took away some honorable members but in the elections he threatens to steal some votes. And then there is Forza Italiawhich these days is going through strange upheavals and it is not certain that they will all go in the direction of supporting Giorgia’s leadership.
Among the Azzurri there are those who would like to keep their hands free, because one day who knows… Does this seem like political fiction to you? Well, in the past the government was supported by the Democratic Party, Italia viva, 5 stars, Article one, and – listen, listen – Forza Italia and League. This time the League certainly won’t be invited to join the crowd, but Forza Italia? Maybe that’s why Giavazzi And Renzi are they pushing for elections? Ah, to know… Certainly, the Tuscan Bomba can’t wait to send home Melons. Also for a personal matter: he prohibited parliamentarians from payments from entities attributable to foreign countries. In short, it hit him in the wallet and he, with his two percent, can’t wait to hit it in the ballot box.
