It was February ’45: the days of Yalta, 80 years ago. In Sir Winston Churchill it was asked how the negotiations went and if Franklin Delano Roosevelt now weed out by the disease – he would died shortly thereafter – kept his head at Stalin. The English premier replied: “The United States always do the right thing, after they have exhausted all the alternatives”. Yet to hear the good European salons Donald Trump, a forty -seventh American president, behaves like mad: threatens and does horrible things, says unheeding things.
The European leaders and cloaked in “Luogocomunismo” was lost in the bureaucratic mists, a lot of the left judges the agenda of the US president as a disaster: They have short memory because the tycoon, which took one of the most sensational political revenge of history, follows the so -called “madman’s policy”. Elaborated by Mose Sharret, Israeli Prime Minister, was adopted by Richard Nixon to make his foreign strategy impersonable. But he is a pacifist of the radical left like Avram Noam Chomsky to inspire Donald Trump. In the Stratcom report of the year two thousand, President Bill Clinton, Chomsky wrote: “The fact that the United States can become irrational and vindictive, in the event that their vital interests are attacked, should be part of the image we give as a nation. It is highly positive for our conduct that some elements may seem out of control ».
Washington has understood that the enemy is now Beijing, that China that Clinton with the collaboration “myopian” by Romano ProdiThen head of the European Commission, he entered 2001 in the WTO without condition. World trade organization that Trump question today because – with a strong African component – it is too unbalanced towards China. This war is not done with missiles, but with the dollar. Threaten duties, set bilateral relationships, move as a peacemaker to restore stability to the world, to ask, or perhaps to impose, to Jerome Powell to lower the rates to cool the SuperDollaro and export to the maximum, call investments, support small and medium -sized enterprises, break the Cage of institutions deemed hostile such as the World Health Organization or the Climate Conference with the Eco-Accorddi of Paris has only one purpose: to put the dragon in the alternative by decreeing the end of globalization. Xi Jinping has never hidden that he wanted to celebrate the century of the People’s Republic in 2049, with two goals: the annexation of Taiwan conquering its high technology (wants to invade the island by 2027) and exceed the US economy.
In the same scheme of contrast to the Asian power, it is part of Greenland And to demand that the Panama channel, from which 14 thousand ships pass per year, return to being free and not under Chinese control. Trump is convinced that to put Beijing in Scacco, also checking the expansionism of the Brics who are a launch pad of the dragon (hence the iron alliance with the Argentine president Javier Milei, exchanged for the construction of a global right) must be attacked the Vital interests. What amazes is that Europe, now province in a planetary economy, cheers more for the popular republic than for America where democracy and above all freedom are non -negotiable values. That this is the case the irritated reaction of the President of the European Commission, who replied angrily to the threat of Trump’s duties; Ursula von der Leyen from the recent assembly of Davos has made it known: my first trip will be in India, that is, we can look east. Also towards China, therefore. Too bad that the latter is the first ally of Russia. The European Union with continuous contradictions is in fact at war with Vladimir Putin by paying dearly, in particular Germany, the lack of gas at balance prices. In addition, the EU is linked to the USA in the US in NATO, with Trump who rightly claims equality of economic effort in the defense.
Europe, however, of these resources does not have (5 percent of GDP in military expenditure mean 850 billion euros) and thus “triggers the fifth article”: who has i Danè he won! That the clash is between the USA and China, with the old irrelevant continent, shows it what happened on 27 January at Wall Street. A apparent Chinese “Nerd”, Liang Wenfeng has put the big tech to the carpet (Nvidia lost 17 percent of the capitalization in one day: almost 600 billion dollars), presenting its application of Deepseek artificial intelligence. Donald Trump with the lords of technology, Elon Musk in the lead, launched the Starlink program: 500 billion dollars to bring the IA and satellite communications to the maximum. A young Chinese, thanks to a limited investment, causes this narrative to collapse and now the dilemma is: is artificial intelligence the business of the future or the re-edition of the speculative bubble of the Dot-Com of the early millennium? Then thinking that Liang Wenfeng has done everything alone is almost science fiction. The Beijing regime is clear, knows and disposes.
It is also understood why Musk, and the other Silicon Valley tycoons are decisive: the challenge with China is played largely in the technological ring. To orbit a satellite system, Europe will use, to be optimistic, about ten years and it is curious to find that Italy, with Sirio, was the first country to launch a low frequency telecommunications in ’64 in ’64 (the same by Musk) and if Romano Prodi had not disassembled to make a pleasure to Umberto Agnelli Telecom-Telespazio who knows where we would be now. But in Italy it is forbidden to have certain resourcesOf; As it is inconvenient to say that a environment near the Democratic Party is also betting on Musk. Elly Schlein shakes fascism because the South African magnate through X (the former Twitter) condition the world and the vote. Well, to him, to conquer that social network a hand – reduced to the strength on the pitch, but always of 1 percent of the actions we speak – unipol provided it. It is the group controlled by a pool of cooperatives – the largest package holds it Coop Alleanza 3.0 – which with the Democratic Party has profitable relationships. However, it is preferred to attack Meloni, who is wrong to have excellent relationships with Musk and Trump, and who is trying to avoid duties on Made in Italy and also on Europe. The premier is snubbed because it does not represent the EU.
Teresa Ribera, Spanish vice -president with “Verde delegation”, in the face of the affirmation of the American president that the Green Deal is a deception reacts and excommunicated the Italian Meloni. It is necessary, however, that for Trump the EU – as Brussels – does not exist even if the president of the Italian Council insists on mediation and finds a unexpected ally in Volodymir Zelensky. The Ukrainian leader said: “You are a channel with Trump useful for the EU and I hope for us”. And of course the idea of the US President is to put Moscow and Kiev around as soon as possible. From Putin there has not arrived a no and also Zelensky – caught by his generals who give the war for lost – he thinks about it. The apparent, crazy idea of working on the price of oil to start a negotiation by forcing Moscow is one of the strengths of the tycoon, which does not hide that they want to make the USA energy supplier in the world. However, those who are shaking to repeat that among Trump’s goals there is to leave Europe out of the games, he does not know the numbers. It is Europe that, alone, has been offside. The US GDP is worth 29 thousand billion dollars and grows at 2.9 percent with a commercial deficit of approximately 800 billion dollars; The Chinese one touches 19 thousand billion dollars and grows at 5 percent with a commercial surplus that reached 990 billion this year, the European one is worth 18 thousand billion and grows by 0.9 percent with a commercial surplus of just 38 billion. And Mrs. Christine Lagarde from the central bank will be forced to cut rates if it does not want to further aggravate the European position: it is certain that Trump will ask the Federal Reserve to lower the cost of money.
His duties policy regarding Europe has a primary objective: to limit Germany. And that’s why the German Ursula von der Leyen is nervous and repeats the mantra that what hurts Berlin damages the union. The supporters of this idea forget two circumstances: the first is how today’s Europe was born, the second is that Germany for at least a quarter of a century has put indirect duties to other continental countries. And we return to Yalta. The United States understood that the Soviet Union should be limited and prevent the former German power from returning: the solution was to create Europe. Hence the Marshall plan and the past 75 years of history. Except that today this political reality is for the USA a problem, because a problem is Germany.
Berlin has maintained the commercial surplus for 20 years, damaging the other European economies and competing with America. To today’s data, 7 percent annual of this surplus is worth 315 billion euros, which the country has pocketed by selling Mercedes and Volkswagen cars, braking internal consumption and therefore its imports and inflating savings. He wrote – at the time of the first Trump presidency – the weekly The Economist: «That a large economy in conditions of full employment accumulations of the commercial surplus of 8 percent GDP per year involves an exhausted tension on the global trade system. To compensate for these surplus and in order to maintain jobs, the rest of the world must be indebted and spend in equal measure. In some countries, such as Italy, Greece and Spain, the deficits eventually led to the crisis ». Europe defenders against Trump’s duties are Germany fans who, while flirting with China, archives this year – the agency Reuters CONTAINI – A record active with the States of 65 billion euros (in 2023 the billions were 63.3). Of course, the billionaire Trump is not liked to many, but his “America First” seems to be Churchill’s prophecy: the US do the right thing, after having exhausted the alternatives.
