With rising inflation, the revaluation is approaching 3%: here are the figures by range, but there is no real increase in purchasing power
From January 2027, pensioners’ benefits are expected to rise by around 3%, driven by the rising cost of living. For many pensions it means 30 to 60 euros gross more per month. In September, consumer prices in fact grew by 4.2% on an annual basis, compared to 3.3% in August, but that figure does not coincide with the percentage used for pensions, which estimates now place between 2.9% and 3%, with the possibility of slightly exceeding that threshold. The percentage, however, is still provisional: the official one will be set by a decree from the Ministry of Economy, expected in the autumn. The effects will affect millions of pensioners, from medium to minimum pensions, up to social allowances and civil disability.
Pension revaluation 2027: when the official percentage will be known
To adjust pension allowances, we look at the average prices for the year recorded by the FOI index, that of families, excluding tobacco. There are two dates to mark. On 16 October Istat will publish the definitive data for September. Then, probably in November, the Ministry of Economy will indicate with a decree the provisional percentage valid from 1 January 2027. In the meantime, however, the first simulations can already be carried out.
2027 pension increase by amount range: simulations
The revaluation mechanism favors the lowest allowances. The full adjustment is worth up to four times the minimum treatment, i.e. up to approximately 2,447 euros per month. 90% of the increase is recognized on the quota between four and five times the minimum, while beyond this threshold it drops to 75%.
With a revaluation of 3%, a gross pension of 1,000 euros would grow by around 30 euros per month, a 1,500 by 45 and a 2,000 by 60. For higher allowances the calculation becomes more complicated: with 2,500 euros the increase would be around 75 euros, with 3,000 euros around 88. If the percentage stopped at 2.9%, the 1,000 euros would become 1,029 and the 2,000 euros would rise by around 58 euros: between the two scenarios the difference is just a few euros.
These are gross figures: Irpef and surcharges will weigh on the net, as well as any tax changes in the next Budget Law.
Minimum pension, social allowance and civil disability: increases in 2027
For those with lower incomes the increases in euros are more limited. The minimum pensiontoday at 611.85 euros, would go to around 630 euros with 3% (around 629.59 with 2.9%), over 18 euros more per month. This year, however, many pensioners also have a further temporary increase, until December 2026, of 1.3%, which brings the amount to around 619.80 euros. The 2027 Budget Law will decide whether to extend.
The social allowance, today at 546.24 euros, it would rise to around 562.63 euros, almost 16 euros more. The basic amount of civil disability340.71 euros, would reach approximately 350.93 euros, with an increase of just over 10 euros. These are basic figures: social surcharges and other additions can increase the amount actually collected.
Inflation and pensions: why revaluation does not increase purchasing power
This is not an enrichment. The revaluation serves to limit the damage of inflationthat is, to prevent the pension from being worth less and less compared to prices. Then there is a question of timing. The shopping cart, petrol and bills immediately weigh on the family budget, while the allowance is only adjusted in January of the following year. In the meantime, it is the pensioner who anticipates the increases out of his own pocket. The upcoming increases, therefore, only partially and belatedly return what inflation has already taken away in 2026.
