USA 2024: who cries and who smiles after the Michigan primaries

Tuesday was a day of primaries in the United States. And if there is someone who smiles (Donald Trump), someone else is instead worried (Joe Biden). Let's start by saying that both won the presidential primaries held in Michigan: a crucial state in view of next November's elections. However, the two victories do not have the same weight at all.

Biden he won with 81% for a total of 618,000 votes. At first glance, it would seem like a good result, but things are not exactly like that. First, in the 2020 Michigan primaries the current president got 840,000 votes. Secondly, 81% for an outgoing president seeking reappointment is not such a reassuring result. Oh yes, because on Tuesday around 13% of the votes went to the “uncommitted” option. How can this bizarreness be explained? It's easy to say. In recent weeks, Arab Americans, who are particularly numerous in Michigan and generally linked to the left wing of the Democratic Party, have begun a boycott campaign against Biden for his positions on the ongoing Middle Eastern crisis. Well, the boycott consisted precisely in urging voters to vote for the “uncommitted” option rather than for the president. Not only. Following the vote in Michigan, the writer Marianne Williamson has decided to resume the electoral campaign for the nominations presidential dem, after he had suspended it at the beginning of February. Let's be clear: the Williamson he has a modest following and has no hope of winning. However, even in his small way, he represents one of the increasingly numerous thorns in the side of Biden.

For Trump, Tuesday was instead a better day. The former president won 68.2% in Michigan against 26.5% of his rival, Nikki Haley. In total, Trump he obtained almost 756,000 votes: a notable increase compared to 2016, when, faced with a greater number of opponents in the race, he won the local Republican primaries with 483,000 votes. Differently from Biden, Trump he is not an outgoing president seeking reappointment but a former president aiming for a second term. Furthermore, unlike Bidenhas to face an opponent who, despite now being in considerable difficulty, is still more solid than the minor presidential candidates currently present in the dem camp (the deputy Dean Phillips it's the same Williamson). Finally, as we have seen, in terms of absolute votes, Trump on Tuesday in Michigan he got about 138,000 votes more than the current occupant of the White House.

In short, the former president has taken a further step towards nominations Republican presidential election. And she is already warming up her engines in preparation for the Super Tuesday which will be held on March 5th. Biden, for his part, wins but is not convincing, given that, being an incumbent president seeking reconfirmation, he finds himself with significant splits within his own party. Let us remember once again that Michigan is one of the key states for the next presidential elections. And that on site Biden it cannot therefore afford defections to the left. If this were to occur during the presidential elections, the current occupant of the White House would risk finding himself seriously crippled. “If Democratic voters in Michigan – and a handful of other swing states – feel disinterested in November, Joe Biden he could lose re-election,” CNN ruled. And she's not entirely wrong.